UEFA Champions League, round 3 · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Real Betis — Feyenoord
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Betis are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Betis — Feyenoord What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Real Betis not to lose | 72% | |
| Feyenoord not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Real Betis
- Real Betis goals
- Feyenoord goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Osasuna5:2
- 20.09away · Deportivo A Coruña1:1
- 17.09Getafe1:0
- 14.09away · Villarreal2:1
- 08.09away · Lille3:2
- 10.10AZ Alkmaar2:0
- 20.09FC Utrecht5:0
- 13.09away · PEC Zwolle7:0
- 09.09away · Barcelona1:5
- 05.09away · NEC Nijmegen3:1
Head to head
- 29.01.2026Real Betis — Feyenoord2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Atlético Madrid | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 32 | Lille | 2 | 0 | -4 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Galatasaray | 2 | 0 | -5 | 0 |
Champions League on the same day
- LilleGalatasaraypreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- ComoManchester Unitedpreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Bayern MünchenArsenalpreliminary6819131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.1
- Real MadridRB Leipzigpreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- InterShakhtar Donetskpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Sporting CPLASKpreliminary741791The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- Aston VillaVikingpreliminary5624211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Club BruggeLenspreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →