UEFA Champions League, round 3 · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Sporting CP — LASK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sporting CP are clear favourites: 74% against 9% for the opponent, draw 17%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sporting CP are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting CP — LASK What is xG? | 2.5–0.8 | |
| Sporting CP not to lose | 91% | |
| LASK not to lose | 26% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting CP
- Sporting CP goals
- LASK goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 13.10away · Lens2:0
- 09.10away · Braga3:1
- 19.09Arouca2:2
- 13.09away · Famalicão1:1
- 09.09Galatasaray3:1
- 11.10Rapid Wien0:2
- 20.09away · Hartberg3:3
- 13.09away · Sturm Graz1:2
- 08.09away · AEK Athens0:1
- 01.09away · Wolfsberger AC3:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Champions League on the same day
- LilleGalatasaraypreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- ComoManchester Unitedpreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Bayern MünchenArsenalpreliminary6819131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.1
- Real MadridRB Leipzigpreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- InterShakhtar Donetskpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Aston VillaVikingpreliminary5624211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Club BruggeLenspreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.9
- Real BetisFeyenoordpreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →