Segunda Division, round 10 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Real Valladolid — Eldense

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Model prediction for 18 October

Real Valladolid49%
Draw26%
Eldense24%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Real Valladolid are clear favourites: 49% against 24% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Real Valladolid are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Real Valladolid — No. 11, 12 pts; Eldense — No. 14, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Real Valladolid: unbeaten in 4.
  • Last 2 meetings: Real Valladolid 2 wins, Eldense 0.
  • Days of rest before the match: Real Valladolid 6, Eldense 8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Real Valladolid — Eldense What is xG?1.5–1.0
Real Valladolid not to lose76%
Eldense not to lose51%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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  • Handicap Real Valladolid
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  • Eldense goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Real Valladolid

  • 12.10Albacete5:0
  • 04.10away · Las Palmas2:2
  • 27.09Córdoba3:1
  • 20.09away · AD Ceuta FC1:1
  • 13.09Real Oviedo0:3

Eldense

  • 10.10Córdoba2:1
  • 02.10Real Oviedo4:1
  • 27.09away · Burgos CF0:1
  • 19.09Eibar1:2
  • 13.09away · Sporting Gijón1:0

Head to head

  • 13.04.2024Real Valladolid — Eldense1:0
  • 04.10.2023Eldense — Real Valladolid0:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10Granada942314–13+114
11Real Valladolid933313–11+212
12Tenerife933311–13-212
13Celta Fortuna932414–15-111
14Eldense932410–11-111
15Las Palmas932413–16-311

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
  • XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →