Copa del Rey · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Recreativo Huelva — Rayo Vallecano
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rayo Vallecano are clear favourites: 86% against 4% for the opponent, draw 10%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 72%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rayo Vallecano are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Recreativo Huelva — Rayo Vallecano What is xG? | 0.6–3.1 | |
| Recreativo Huelva not to lose | 14% | |
| Rayo Vallecano not to lose | 96% | |
| No draw | 90% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 72% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 28% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Recreativo Huelva
- Recreativo Huelva goals
- Rayo Vallecano goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 01.11away · Tudelano0:1
- 13.11Burgos CF0:0
- 21.01Osasuna2:3
- 11.01Fuenlabrada0:0
- 17.12away · Hércules1:0
- 19.09away · Osasuna1:1
- 15.09Espanyol2:1
- 12.09away · Real Madrid1:4
- 05.09Racing Santander3:2
- 31.08away · Barcelona2:5
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- CD CuarteGironapreliminary613812The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.5
- CF CalamochaCE Europapreliminary3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Atletico PinatarenseElchepreliminary714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.4
- SestaoEspanyolpreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- CE ManresaSant Andreupreliminary3026432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- CastellonenseAlmeríapreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- CD Atlético PasoCórdobapreliminary1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- Atlético TordesillasCD Mirandéspreliminary2024572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →