Major League Soccer (MLS), round 31 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Red Bull New York — Inter Miami CF
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Inter Miami CF are slightly stronger: 46% against 29%, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 78%, both teams to score — 78%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Inter Miami CF are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Red Bull New York — Inter Miami CF What is xG? | 1.9–2.3 | |
| Red Bull New York not to lose | 54% | |
| Inter Miami CF not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 22% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 78% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 22% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Red Bull New York
- Red Bull New York goals
- Inter Miami CF goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10San Diego FC4:1
- 01.10St. Louis City0:3
- 19.09away · New York City FC1:0
- 13.09away · Columbus Crew1:0
- 10.09away · Los Angeles FC0:2
- 11.10DC United4:0
- 28.09away · Columbus Crew1:2
- 21.09San Diego FC2:2
- 13.09Nashville SC2:2
- 10.09away · Chicago Fire FC1:1
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Inter Miami CF — Red Bull New York2:2
- 20.07.2025Red Bull New York — Inter Miami CF1:5
- 04.05.2025Inter Miami CF — Red Bull New York4:1
- 05.05.2024Inter Miami CF — Red Bull New York6:2
- 23.03.2024Red Bull New York — Inter Miami CF4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | LA Galaxy | 29 | 9 | -11 | 36 |
| 18, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Red Bull New York | 28 | 10 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | +4 | 33 |
MLS on the same day
- Atlanta UnitedChicago Fire FCpreliminary3027432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- DC UnitedFC Cincinnatipreliminary3826361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- Orlando CityNew York City FCpreliminary4127321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Philadelphia UnionNew England Revolutionpreliminary6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecapspreliminary2628462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakespreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Houston Dynamo FCMinnesota Unitedpreliminary4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Sporting Kansas CityAustin FCpreliminary4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →