Brazilian Serie A, round 33 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Remo — Botafogo

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Model prediction for 29 October

Remo33%
Draw30%
Botafogo36%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Remo 33%, Botafogo 36%, draw 30%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Botafogo are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Remo — Botafogo What is xG?1.2–1.3
Remo not to lose64%
Botafogo not to lose67%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.545%
Total under 2.555%

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Form

Remo

  • 11.10away · Vasco da Gama0:0
  • 08.10Grêmio1:1
  • 20.09Santos1:2
  • 15.09away · Bahia1:2
  • 06.09Flamengo0:1

Botafogo

  • 12.10away · Coritiba1:1
  • 08.10Vasco da Gama1:2
  • 19.09away · Mirassol0:2
  • 17.09Grêmio3:2
  • 13.09RB Bragantino1:1

Head to head

  • 02.05.2026Botafogo — Remo1:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11, Copa SudamericanaCoritiba301091138–48-1039
12Botafogo30991243–48-536
13Vitória301061433–44-1136
18, RelegationGrêmio307101332–40-831
19, RelegationRemo305101533–48-1525
20, RelegationChapecoense29391730–61-3118

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • SantosPalmeiraspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
  • BahiaSão Paulopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →