Brazilian Serie A, round 33 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Fluminense — Internacional
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Fluminense are clear favourites: 54% against 19% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Fluminense are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fluminense — Internacional What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Fluminense not to lose | 81% | |
| Internacional not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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- Fluminense goals
- Internacional goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Flamengo0:1
- 09.10Coritiba4:0
- 20.09away · Corinthians3:1
- 16.09away · Club Atlético Platense1:2
- 12.09away · Atlético-MG1:3
- 11.10away · Grêmio1:1
- 08.10Corinthians2:1
- 20.09away · São Paulo0:1
- 12.09away · Chapecoense2:1
- 06.09Santos2:3
Head to head
- 04.05.2026Internacional — Fluminense2:0
- 25.10.2025Fluminense — Internacional1:0
- 07.08.2025Fluminense — Internacional1:1
- 31.07.2025Internacional — Fluminense1:2
- 02.06.2025Internacional — Fluminense0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Copa Libertadores | Athletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | +14 | 53 |
| 4, Copa Libertadores | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | +11 | 51 |
| 5, Copa Libertadores | Bahia | 30 | 13 | +8 | 49 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | -5 | 32 |
| 17, Relegation | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
Brasileirao on the same day
- SantosPalmeiraspreliminary3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
- RB BragantinoChapecoensepreliminary7118101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- BahiaSão Paulopreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- RemoBotafogopreliminary333036XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →