Brazilian Serie A, round 33 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
RB Bragantino — Chapecoense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
RB Bragantino are clear favourites: 71% against 10% for the opponent, draw 18%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings RB Bragantino are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: RB Bragantino — Chapecoense What is xG? | 2.2–0.8 | |
| RB Bragantino not to lose | 90% | |
| Chapecoense not to lose | 29% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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- Handicap RB Bragantino
- RB Bragantino goals
- Chapecoense goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 13.10Cruzeiro4:2
- 08.10Mirassol1:1
- 04.10away · Atlético-MG0:1
- 21.09away · Flamengo1:2
- 13.09away · Botafogo1:1
- 13.10Athletico Paranaense1:4
- 08.10away · Vitória0:4
- 19.09away · Atlético-MG1:1
- 12.09Internacional1:2
- 07.09away · Corinthians2:1
Head to head
- 04.05.2026Chapecoense — RB Bragantino1:2
- 12.09.2021RB Bragantino — Chapecoense1:2
- 31.05.2021Chapecoense — RB Bragantino0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Copa Sudamericana | Santos | 30 | 11 | +1 | 42 |
| 9, Copa Sudamericana | RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | +3 | 40 |
| 10, Copa Sudamericana | São Paulo | 30 | 11 | 0 | 39 |
| 19, Relegation | Remo | 30 | 5 | -15 | 25 |
| 20, Relegation | Chapecoense | 29 | 3 | -31 | 18 |
Brasileirao on the same day
- FluminenseInternacionalpreliminary5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- SantosPalmeiraspreliminary3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
- BahiaSão Paulopreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- RemoBotafogopreliminary333036XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →