South African Premiership · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Princess Magogo Stadium
Richards Bay — Mamelodi Sundowns FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:4Came true
In short
Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Mamelodi Sundowns FC to win (65%), came true.
Mamelodi Sundowns FC are clear favourites: 65% against 12% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Mamelodi Sundowns FC are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Richards Bay — Mamelodi Sundowns FC What is xG? | 0.8–1.9 | |
| Richards Bay not to lose | 35% | |
| Mamelodi Sundowns FC not to lose | 88% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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- Handicap Richards Bay
- Richards Bay goals
- Mamelodi Sundowns FC goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 19.09Sekhukhune United2:3
- 13.09away · Milford FC1:5
- 04.09AmaZulu FC1:2
- 26.08Kaizer Chiefs2:2
- 15.08away · Durban City1:1
- 12.09away · Chippa United1:1
- 09.09Siwelele3:0
- 06.09away · Lamontville Golden Arrows2:1
- 02.09Milford FC2:0
- 26.08AmaZulu FC5:2
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Richards Bay — Mamelodi Sundowns FC0:0
- 27.09.2025Mamelodi Sundowns FC — Richards Bay4:1
- 30.04.2025Mamelodi Sundowns FC — Richards Bay3:0
- 28.12.2024Richards Bay — Mamelodi Sundowns FC0:2
- 02.04.2024Mamelodi Sundowns FC — Richards Bay1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, CAF Champions League | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 9 | 7 | +15 | 23 |
| 2, CAF Champions League | Orlando Pirates | 8 | 7 | +18 | 22 |
| 14 | Siwelele | 7 | 0 | -7 | 3 |
| 15, Relegation play-off | Richards Bay | 8 | 0 | -10 | 3 |
| 16, Relegation | Marumo Gallants | 7 | 0 | -8 | 2 |
Next matches
- Kruger UnitedRichards Bay31 October · SA Premiership · preliminary4131291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Mamelodi Sundowns FCDurban City1 November · SA Premiership · preliminary722081The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
SA Premiership on the same day
- 4332251The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
- 5130181The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
- 811451The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →