South African Premiership · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Chatsworth Stadium
Durban City — AmaZulu FC
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1:2Missed
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Durban City to win (43%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 43% fails in about 57 matches out of 100 on average.
Durban City are slightly stronger: 43% against 25%, draw 32%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Durban City are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- AmaZulu FC: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Durban City 0 wins, AmaZulu FC 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Durban City — AmaZulu FC What is xG? | 1.1–0.8 | |
| Durban City not to lose | 75% | |
| AmaZulu FC not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 29% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 71% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Durban City
- Durban City goals
- AmaZulu FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · Milford FC1:1
- 17.09away · Orlando Pirates0:2
- 01.09Stellenbosch FC0:0
- 25.08away · Kruger United2:0
- 15.08Richards Bay1:1
- 19.09away · Polokwane City1:0
- 12.09Marumo Gallants1:0
- 04.09away · Richards Bay2:1
- 26.08away · Mamelodi Sundowns FC2:5
- 15.08Siwelele2:0
Head to head
- 23.05.2026Durban City — AmaZulu FC0:1
- 18.10.2025AmaZulu FC — Durban City1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, CAF Champions League | Orlando Pirates | 8 | 7 | +18 | 22 |
| 3, CAF Confederation Cup | AmaZulu FC | 8 | 6 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 | Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 10 | Polokwane City | 7 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Durban City | 8 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 8 | 1 | -5 | 6 |
Next matches
- AmaZulu FCLamontville Golden Arrows31 October · SA Premiership · preliminary4432241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- Mamelodi Sundowns FCDurban City1 November · SA Premiership · preliminary722081The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
SA Premiership on the same day
- 5130181The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
- 1223652The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 811451The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →