South African Premiership · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · FNB Stadium (Soccer City)
Kaizer Chiefs — Stellenbosch FC
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In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Kaizer Chiefs to win (51%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.
Kaizer Chiefs are clear favourites: 51% against 18% for the opponent, draw 30%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kaizer Chiefs are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kaizer Chiefs — Stellenbosch FC What is xG? | 1.2–0.7 | |
| Kaizer Chiefs not to lose | 82% | |
| Stellenbosch FC not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 29% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 71% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kaizer Chiefs
- Kaizer Chiefs goals
- Stellenbosch FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 20.09away · Lamontville Golden Arrows0:0
- 12.09away · Polokwane City1:1
- 06.09Siwelele3:2
- 26.08away · Richards Bay2:2
- 15.08Mamelodi Sundowns FC1:1
- 19.09away · Kruger United1:0
- 11.09Sekhukhune United1:1
- 01.09away · Durban City0:0
- 26.08away · Lamontville Golden Arrows0:1
- 14.08Marumo Gallants3:1
Head to head
- 24.02.2026Kaizer Chiefs — Stellenbosch FC1:2
- 10.08.2025Stellenbosch FC — Kaizer Chiefs0:2
- 07.02.2025Stellenbosch FC — Kaizer Chiefs0:1
- 08.01.2025Kaizer Chiefs — Stellenbosch FC2:1
- 02.04.2024Kaizer Chiefs — Stellenbosch FC0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, CAF Confederation Cup | AmaZulu FC | 8 | 6 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 | Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Milford FC | 8 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United | 7 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Stellenbosch FC | 8 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Lamontville Golden Arrows | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
Next matches
- Stellenbosch FCChippa United30 October · SA Premiership · preliminary5728151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Orlando PiratesKaizer Chiefs31 October · SA Premiership · preliminary6624111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
SA Premiership on the same day
- 4332251The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
- 1223652The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 811451The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →