Russian Premier League, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Rodina — FC Krasnodar
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Krasnodar are clear favourites: 62% against 14% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Krasnodar are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Rodina — No. 15, 5 pts; FC Krasnodar — No. 4, 21 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Rodina: winless in 5; FC Krasnodar: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rodina — FC Krasnodar What is xG? | 0.9–2.1 | |
| Rodina not to lose | 38% | |
| FC Krasnodar not to lose | 86% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rodina
- Rodina goals
- FC Krasnodar goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · CSKA Moscow0:3
- 16.09Rubin Kazan1:1
- 11.09away · Krylya Sovetov Samara1:2
- 06.09away · Dynamo Makhachkala0:2
- 02.09away · Spartak Moscow1:3
- 13.10Fakel0:2
- 10.10Zenit St. Petersburg2:3
- 17.09away · FC Orenburg0:0
- 13.09Akron Togliatti1:1
- 05.09away · Krylya Sovetov Samara2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 10 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | -8 | 8 |
| 15, Relegation | Rodina | 10 | 1 | -15 | 5 |
| 16, Relegation | Fakel | 10 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- Rubin KazanFakelpreliminary4432241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- Dinamo MoscowFK Akhmatpreliminary5727171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →