Russian Premier League, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Rubin Kazan — Fakel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rubin Kazan are clear favourites: 55% against 15% for the opponent, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rubin Kazan are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rubin Kazan — Fakel What is xG? | 1.4–0.7 | |
| Rubin Kazan not to lose | 85% | |
| Fakel not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rubin Kazan
- Rubin Kazan goals
- Fakel goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Dinamo Moscow0:1
- 16.09away · Rodina1:1
- 12.09away · CSKA Moscow1:1
- 07.09FK Akhmat1:1
- 02.09away · FC Orenburg1:1
- 13.10away · FC Krasnodar2:0
- 10.10Lokomotiv Moscow0:5
- 16.09away · Spartak Moscow0:1
- 12.09Baltika2:2
- 05.09away · FC Rostov1:3
Head to head
- 27.04.2025Rubin Kazan — Fakel2:1
- 01.10.2024Rubin Kazan — Fakel0:1
- 27.09.2024Fakel — Rubin Kazan0:0
- 27.08.2024Fakel — Rubin Kazan0:2
- 26.11.2023Rubin Kazan — Fakel1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 15, Relegation | Rodina | 10 | 1 | -15 | 5 |
| 16, Relegation | Fakel | 10 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- Dinamo MoscowFK Akhmatpreliminary6125131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- RodinaFC Krasnodarpreliminary1021692The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →