Russian Premier League, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Dinamo Moscow — FK Akhmat

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Model prediction for 31 October

Dinamo Moscow61%
Draw25%
FK Akhmat13%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dinamo Moscow are clear favourites: 61% against 13% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Dinamo Moscow are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dinamo Moscow — FK Akhmat What is xG?1.9–0.9
Dinamo Moscow not to lose87%
FK Akhmat not to lose39%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Dinamo Moscow
  • Dinamo Moscow goals
  • FK Akhmat goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Dinamo Moscow

  • 11.10away · Rubin Kazan1:0
  • 17.09away · FC Rostov3:0
  • 12.09FC Orenburg1:0
  • 06.09Spartak Moscow2:1
  • 03.09FK Akhmat3:0

FK Akhmat

  • 11.10Baltika0:0
  • 17.09away · Akron Togliatti0:2
  • 13.09Dynamo Makhachkala3:2
  • 07.09away · Rubin Kazan1:1
  • 03.09away · Dinamo Moscow0:3

Head to head

  • 03.09.2026Dinamo Moscow — FK Akhmat3:0
  • 30.11.2025FK Akhmat — Dinamo Moscow2:1
  • 19.10.2025Dinamo Moscow — FK Akhmat2:2
  • 02.12.2024FK Akhmat — Dinamo Moscow1:1
  • 15.09.2024Dinamo Moscow — FK Akhmat4:2

Full record: 19 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1CSKA Moscow1064018–9+922
2Dinamo Moscow1071215–8+722
3Zenit St. Petersburg1070322–11+1121
10Dynamo Makhachkala1040615–20-512
11FK Akhmat1025313–13011
12FC Rostov1032511–17-611

Season 2026/27

Full table

Russian Premier League on the same day

  • Rubin KazanFakelpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →