Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
RS Gimnástica — UD Ourense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: RS Gimnástica 36%, UD Ourense 38%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: RS Gimnástica — UD Ourense What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| RS Gimnástica not to lose | 62% | |
| UD Ourense not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap RS Gimnástica
- RS Gimnástica goals
- UD Ourense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
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- PoblenseAD Ceuta FCpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- PortugaleteReal Uniónpreliminary4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UteboSabadellpreliminary916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- SD AmorebietaLogroñéspreliminary5325231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →