UEFA Champions League, round 2 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu
Sabah FK — Slavia Prague
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In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Slavia Prague to win (37%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 37% fails in about 63 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Sabah FK 36%, Slavia Prague 37%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Slavia Prague are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sabah FK — Slavia Prague What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Sabah FK not to lose | 63% | |
| Slavia Prague not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sabah FK
- Sabah FK goals
- Slavia Prague goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.09Lens2:3
- 28.01away · Pafos FC1:4
- 21.01Barcelona2:4
- 09.12away · Tottenham Hotspur0:3
- 25.11Athletic Club0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 21, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Sabah FK | 2 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 22, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Slavia Prague | 2 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 31 | Napoli | 2 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
Next matches
- Sabah FKBorussia Dortmund20 October · Champions League815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4
- FenerbahçeSlavia Prague20 October · Champions League7118111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
Champions League on the same day
- 4226321The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 6222171The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 3:1.3.0
- 801471The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 3:0, exactly right.3.4
- 5125241The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 3927351The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 4027341The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 2425512The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 1219692The most likely outcome did not happen: 23:3Final score 3:3. Model's score: 0:3.3.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →