UEFA Champions League, round 3 · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Fenerbahçe — Slavia Prague
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Fenerbahçe are clear favourites: 75% against 9% for the opponent, draw 16%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Fenerbahçe are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fenerbahçe — Slavia Prague What is xG? | 2.5–0.8 | |
| Fenerbahçe not to lose | 91% | |
| Slavia Prague not to lose | 25% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fenerbahçe
- Fenerbahçe goals
- Slavia Prague goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Rizespor3:0
- 20.09Eyüpspor8:0
- 14.09away · Gaziantep FK0:0
- 10.09Roma1:1
- 05.09Beşiktaş1:2
- 13.10away · Sabah FK0:2
- 10.09Lens2:3
- 28.01away · Pafos FC1:4
- 21.01Barcelona2:4
- 09.12away · Tottenham Hotspur0:3
Head to head
- 28.11.2024Slavia Prague — Fenerbahçe1:2
- 24.02.2022Slavia Prague — Fenerbahçe3:2
- 17.02.2022Fenerbahçe — Slavia Prague2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 23, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 24, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Slavia Prague | 2 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
| 31 | Napoli | 2 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
Champions League on the same day
- 1218702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1
- 4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
- 761581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 91721The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:04.1
- 5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →