Turkish Super Lig, round 9 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Samsunspor — Amed Sportif
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Amed Sportif are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 27%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Samsunspor are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Samsunspor — No. 17, 4 pts; Amed Sportif — No. 3, 14 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Samsunspor: 5 defeats in a row; Amed Sportif: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Samsunspor — Amed Sportif What is xG? | 1.3–1.7 | |
| Samsunspor not to lose | 55% | |
| Amed Sportif not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Samsunspor
- Samsunspor goals
- Amed Sportif goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10Trabzonspor0:3
- 20.09away · Erzurumspor FK0:1
- 12.09Çorum FK1:5
- 06.09away · Kocaelispor0:1
- 30.08Fenerbahçe0:2
- 10.10away · Gençlerbirliği2:2
- 20.09Beşiktaş3:2
- 13.09Başakşehir5:0
- 06.09away · Kasımpaşa2:2
- 31.08Trabzonspor2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Amed Sportif | 7 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 16, Relegation | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
| 17, Relegation | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | -9 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | -18 | 3 |
Super Lig on the same day
- EyüpsporKasımpaşapreliminary2829432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
- Gaziantep FKErzurumspor FKpreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →