Norwegian Eliteserien, round 25 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Sarpsborg 08 — Kristiansund
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sarpsborg 08 are clear favourites: 64% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sarpsborg 08 are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Sarpsborg 08 — No. 9, 28 pts; Kristiansund — No. 15, 19 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Kristiansund: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Sarpsborg 08 0 wins, Kristiansund 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sarpsborg 08 — Kristiansund What is xG? | 2.2–1.1 | |
| Sarpsborg 08 not to lose | 85% | |
| Kristiansund not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sarpsborg 08
- Sarpsborg 08 goals
- Kristiansund goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Aalesund4:2
- 18.09KFUM1:3
- 13.09away · Fredrikstad1:1
- 06.09Vålerenga2:2
- 30.08away · Tromsø0:0
- 10.10away · Bodø/Glimt1:3
- 19.09Rosenborg1:3
- 13.09away · Viking1:8
- 06.09Tromsø2:0
- 30.08away · Hamarkameratene2:2
Head to head
- 18.07.2026Kristiansund — Sarpsborg 080:0
- 25.08.2025Sarpsborg 08 — Kristiansund0:1
- 13.07.2025Kristiansund — Sarpsborg 080:0
- 15.09.2024Sarpsborg 08 — Kristiansund0:2
- 02.06.2024Kristiansund — Sarpsborg 083:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | KFUM | 22 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | -15 | 21 |
| 15, Relegation | Kristiansund | 22 | 5 | -21 | 19 |
| 16, Relegation | Start | 22 | 4 | -24 | 16 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- BrannMoldepreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- KFUMHamarkameratenepreliminary4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- StartLillestrømpreliminary3527372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- VålerengaTromsøpreliminary3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →