DFB-Pokal, round 2 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Sonnenhof Großaspach — Augsburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Augsburg are clear favourites: 83% against 5% for the opponent, draw 12%.
3.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Augsburg are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sonnenhof Großaspach — Augsburg What is xG? | 0.7–2.9 | |
| Sonnenhof Großaspach not to lose | 17% | |
| Augsburg not to lose | 95% | |
| No draw | 88% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Sonnenhof Großaspach
- Sonnenhof Großaspach goals
- Augsburg goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10Bayern München2:2
- 19.09away · Werder Bremen2:3
- 12.09Bayer Leverkusen2:2
- 06.09away · Eintracht Frankfurt4:1
- 30.08Schalke 043:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
DFB-Pokal on the same day
- BochumMainz 05preliminary1822602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- Hamburger SVEintracht Frankfurtpreliminary3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- RW EssenRB Leipzigpreliminary39882The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.9
- Borussia MönchengladbachKarlsruher SCpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Borussia DortmundWerder Bremenpreliminary741791The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- ElversbergDarmstadtpreliminary5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 1. FC KölnUnion Berlinpreliminary4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →