Belgian Pro League, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Sporting Charleroi — RAAL La Louvière
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sporting Charleroi are clear favourites: 64% against 14% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sporting Charleroi are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Sporting Charleroi — No. 3, 21 pts; RAAL La Louvière — No. 16, 4 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- Sporting Charleroi: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Sporting Charleroi 0 wins, RAAL La Louvière 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting Charleroi — RAAL La Louvière What is xG? | 1.9–0.8 | |
| Sporting Charleroi not to lose | 86% | |
| RAAL La Louvière not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting Charleroi
- Sporting Charleroi goals
- RAAL La Louvière goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Standard Liège1:0
- 19.09Cercle Brugge3:2
- 13.09away · Zulte Waregem1:0
- 05.09Union St.Gilloise2:3
- 29.08away · Kortrijk3:1
- 10.10Club Brugge1:4
- 19.09away · OH Leuven0:2
- 13.09Kortrijk3:0
- 05.09away · St.Truiden0:4
- 29.08KV Mechelen2:2
Head to head
- 29.11.2025Sporting Charleroi — RAAL La Louvière0:0
- 10.08.2025RAAL La Louvière — Sporting Charleroi1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Club Brugge | 8 | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Sporting Charleroi | 8 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Union St.Gilloise | 8 | 6 | +18 | 20 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louvière | 8 | 1 | -10 | 4 |
| 17, Relegation | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | -7 | 3 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- Cercle BruggeRoyal Antwerppreliminary5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- St.TruidenOH Leuvenpreliminary6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- LommelGentpreliminary2930412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →