Norwegian Eliteserien, round 12 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Start — Sandefjord
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Start are slightly stronger: 43% against 30%, draw 26%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Start are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Start — Sandefjord What is xG? | 1.7–1.4 | |
| Start not to lose | 70% | |
| Sandefjord not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Start
- Start goals
- Sandefjord goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10Hamarkameratene2:4
- 20.09away · Sandefjord0:3
- 13.09Brann2:0
- 04.09away · Aalesund0:2
- 30.08KFUM4:1
Head to head
- 20.09.2026Sandefjord — Start3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hamarkameratene | 22 | 7 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Vålerenga | 22 | 6 | -10 | 23 |
| 15, Relegation | Kristiansund | 22 | 5 | -21 | 19 |
| 16, Relegation | Start | 22 | 4 | -24 | 16 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- VikingTromsøpreliminary6023171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- LillestrømBrannpreliminary3528372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- KristiansundKFUMpreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- Sarpsborg 08Aalesundpreliminary6121181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.9
- MoldeFredrikstadpreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →