Serie B, round 8 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Südtirol — Sampdoria
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Südtirol are slightly stronger: 43% against 25%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Südtirol — Sampdoria What is xG? | 1.2–0.9 | |
| Südtirol not to lose | 75% | |
| Sampdoria not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Südtirol
- Südtirol goals
- Sampdoria goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Avellino1:4
- 19.09Catanzaro2:1
- 13.09away · Mantova0:2
- 07.09away · Palermo1:3
- 29.08Juve Stabia1:2
Head to head
- 01.05.2026Sampdoria — Südtirol1:0
- 31.08.2025Südtirol — Sampdoria3:1
- 15.02.2025Südtirol — Sampdoria2:1
- 21.09.2024Sampdoria — Südtirol1:0
- 13.04.2024Sampdoria — Südtirol0:1
Table
Serie B on the same day
- AvellinoPadovapreliminary5028211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- CremoneseJuve Stabiapreliminary4829231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Virtus EntellaMantovapreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- ModenaCesenapreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- CatanzaroAscolipreliminary4528271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- ArezzoBeneventopreliminary3830321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →