EFL Championship, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Swansea City are clear favourites: 52% against 20% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Swansea City are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Swansea City not to lose | 80% | |
| Blackburn Rovers not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Swansea City
- Swansea City goals
- Blackburn Rovers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Millwall1:0
- 10.10Norwich City2:1
- 19.09away · Lincoln City2:1
- 12.09Burnley3:1
- 08.09away · Southampton1:3
- 13.10away · Bristol City1:0
- 10.10Cardiff City2:1
- 19.09away · Portsmouth2:2
- 12.09Millwall3:1
- 08.09Sheffield United1:2
Head to head
- 20.01.2026Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers3:1
- 30.09.2025Blackburn Rovers — Swansea City1:2
- 22.02.2025Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers3:0
- 19.10.2024Blackburn Rovers — Swansea City1:0
- 02.03.2024Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Swansea City | 10 | 7 | +9 | 23 |
| 2, Promotion | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
Championship on the same day
- Lincoln CityBirmingham Citypreliminary373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- Norwich CityWatfordpreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Stoke CityPreston North Endpreliminary4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Bolton WanderersBristol Citypreliminary4228301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- BurnleyPortsmouthpreliminary5028221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- MiddlesbroughCharlton Athleticpreliminary7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- MillwallDerby Countypreliminary5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- SouthamptonQueens Park Rangerspreliminary5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →