Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Trival Valderas — Leganés
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Leganés are clear favourites: 58% against 19% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Leganés are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Leganés: 3 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Trival Valderas — Leganés What is xG? | 1.0–1.9 | |
| Trival Valderas not to lose | 42% | |
| Leganés not to lose | 81% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Trival Valderas
- Trival Valderas goals
- Leganés goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 11.10away · Almería0:3
- 03.10away · Cádiz0:4
- 28.09Castellón0:2
- 20.09Granada3:2
- 13.09away · Tenerife0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Anaitasuna FTDeportivo Alavéspreliminary511842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
- Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Peña SportSD Huescapreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- PoblenseAD Ceuta FCpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- PortugaleteReal Uniónpreliminary4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UteboSabadellpreliminary916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- SD AmorebietaLogroñéspreliminary5325231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →