Belgian Cup, playoff · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Union Rochefortoise — Gent
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Gent are clear favourites: 85% against 4% for the opponent, draw 10%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gent are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Union Rochefortoise — Gent What is xG? | 0.6–3.1 | |
| Union Rochefortoise not to lose | 15% | |
| Gent not to lose | 96% | |
| No draw | 90% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Union Rochefortoise
- Union Rochefortoise goals
- Gent goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Zulte Waregem2:0
- 18.09Standard Liège2:1
- 13.09away · Genk1:1
- 06.09away · Cercle Brugge3:0
- 03.09OH Leuven1:0
Head to head
- 30.10.2024Gent — Union Rochefortoise7:0
Belgian Cup on the same day
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- 96311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:05.0
- 1621632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.0
- 4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →