Norwegian Eliteserien, round 24 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Vålerenga — Brann
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Vålerenga 38%, Brann 35%, draw 27%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Brann are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Vålerenga — No. 13, 23 pts; Brann — No. 7, 29 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Vålerenga: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Vålerenga 1 win, Brann 4.
- Days of rest before the match: Vålerenga 6, Brann 9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vålerenga — Brann What is xG? | 1.7–1.7 | |
| Vålerenga not to lose | 65% | |
| Brann not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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Form
- 12.10away · KFUM1:2
- 20.09Fredrikstad1:1
- 12.09away · Lillestrøm0:2
- 06.09away · Sarpsborg 082:2
- 30.08Molde3:4
- 09.10Viking0:2
- 20.09Bodø/Glimt2:1
- 13.09away · Start0:2
- 05.09Lillestrøm1:2
- 30.08away · Sandefjord0:0
Head to head
- 26.07.2026Brann — Vålerenga2:3
- 13.09.2025Brann — Vålerenga3:2
- 03.05.2025Vålerenga — Brann2:4
- 08.10.2023Vålerenga — Brann1:2
- 22.04.2023Brann — Vålerenga3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lillestrøm | 22 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Vålerenga | 22 | 6 | -10 | 23 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | -15 | 21 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- 7018121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 362934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- 6721121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →