Belgian Cup, playoff · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Virton — Genk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Genk are clear favourites: 84% against 5% for the opponent, draw 11%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Genk are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Virton — Genk What is xG? | 0.6–3.0 | |
| Virton not to lose | 16% | |
| Genk not to lose | 95% | |
| No draw | 89% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Genk goals
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Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 10.10Kortrijk3:0
- 20.09away · Club Brugge0:3
- 13.09Gent1:1
- 06.09away · Anderlecht0:0
- 28.08SK Beveren4:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Belgian Cup on the same day
- 1219692The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 511842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.6
- 97211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:05.2
- 6620141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →