Nigeria NPFL, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Warri Wolves FC — Kano Pillars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Warri Wolves FC are clear favourites: 55% against 18% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Warri Wolves FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Warri Wolves FC — Kano Pillars What is xG? | 1.3–0.7 | |
| Warri Wolves FC not to lose | 82% | |
| Kano Pillars not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 32% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Warri Wolves FC
- Warri Wolves FC goals
- Kano Pillars goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Inter Lagos3:1
- 04.10away · Doma United0:1
- 30.09Enugu Rangers0:1
- 27.09Shooting Stars1:0
- 23.09away · Niger Tornadoes0:0
- 11.10away · Plateau United0:4
- 07.10away · Shooting Stars0:0
- 03.10Sporting Lagos1:1
- 27.09Enyimba0:0
- 23.09away · Inter Lagos1:1
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Kano Pillars — Warri Wolves FC1:0
- 14.12.2025Warri Wolves FC — Kano Pillars0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Katsina United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Nasarawa United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Kwara United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Warri Wolves FC | 8 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Niger Tornadoes | 8 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoespreliminary5926151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- BarauKwara Unitedpreliminary6523121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Bendel InsuranceRivers United FCpreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Ikorodu CityShooting Starspreliminary7119101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Katsina UnitedPlateau Unitedpreliminary5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Kun KhalifatInter Lagospreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbapreliminary6223141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Ranchers BeesDoma Unitedpreliminary6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →