Bundesliga, round 8 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Werder Bremen — Hoffenheim
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Werder Bremen 35%, Hoffenheim 35%, draw 29%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Werder Bremen — Hoffenheim What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| Werder Bremen not to lose | 65% | |
| Hoffenheim not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Werder Bremen
- Werder Bremen goals
- Hoffenheim goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Borussia Dortmund2:2
- 19.09Augsburg3:2
- 12.09away · 1. FC Köln1:1
- 05.09RB Leipzig3:1
- 30.08away · Freiburg1:4
- 10.10Hamburger SV2:3
- 20.09away · Paderborn1:3
- 17.09away · OFI Crete0:2
- 12.09VfB Stuttgart2:1
- 05.09Borussia Dortmund2:3
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Hoffenheim — Werder Bremen1:0
- 27.01.2026Werder Bremen — Hoffenheim0:2
- 16.02.2025Werder Bremen — Hoffenheim1:3
- 29.09.2024Hoffenheim — Werder Bremen3:4
- 03.03.2024Hoffenheim — Werder Bremen2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Augsburg | 5 | 2 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | -12 | 4 |
| 17, Relegation | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | -11 | 0 |
Bundesliga on the same day
- AugsburgFreiburgpreliminary3030392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgartpreliminary5724201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
- Borussia MönchengladbachPaderbornpreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Schalke 04RB Leipzigpreliminary1626572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmundpreliminary751591The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:14.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →