Bundesliga, round 8 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
RB Leipzig are clear favourites: 57% against 16% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings RB Leipzig are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig What is xG? | 1.2–2.0 | |
| Schalke 04 not to lose | 43% | |
| RB Leipzig not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Schalke 04
- Schalke 04 goals
- RB Leipzig goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Freiburg1:2
- 20.09Elversberg0:0
- 11.09away · Union Berlin3:1
- 05.09Bayern München0:0
- 30.08away · Augsburg0:3
- 13.10PSV Eindhoven1:0
- 10.10Eintracht Frankfurt6:0
- 20.09away · Bayer Leverkusen0:2
- 13.09Hamburger SV5:0
- 10.09away · Como1:4
Head to head
- 27.05.2023RB Leipzig — Schalke 044:2
- 24.01.2023Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig1:6
- 06.02.2021Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig0:3
- 03.10.2020RB Leipzig — Schalke 044:0
- 22.02.2020Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig0:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Champions League | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | +6 | 10 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | +10 | 9 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Augsburg | 5 | 2 | +5 | 8 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 | Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
Bundesliga on the same day
- AugsburgFreiburgpreliminary3030402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgartpreliminary5724201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
- Borussia MönchengladbachPaderbornpreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Werder BremenHoffenheimpreliminary352935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmundpreliminary751591The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:14.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →