2. Bundesliga, round 8 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Wolfsburg — FC Heidenheim
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Wolfsburg are slightly stronger: 47% against 29%, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 71%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Wolfsburg — No. 5, 12 pts; FC Heidenheim — No. 3, 14 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- FC Heidenheim: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Wolfsburg 2 wins, FC Heidenheim 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wolfsburg — FC Heidenheim What is xG? | 2.1–1.7 | |
| Wolfsburg not to lose | 71% | |
| FC Heidenheim not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 29% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Wolfsburg
- Wolfsburg goals
- FC Heidenheim goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · 1. FC Nürnberg4:4
- 18.09Darmstadt5:1
- 12.09away · St. Pauli0:1
- 05.09Energie Cottbus4:4
- 29.08away · Karlsruher SC5:2
- 09.10Kaiserslautern0:0
- 20.09away · Arminia Bielefeld2:2
- 13.09Holstein Kiel1:0
- 06.09away · Greuther Fürth1:0
- 29.08Dynamo Dresden5:3
Head to head
- 17.01.2026Wolfsburg — FC Heidenheim1:1
- 23.08.2025FC Heidenheim — Wolfsburg1:3
- 29.03.2025Wolfsburg — FC Heidenheim0:1
- 10.11.2024FC Heidenheim — Wolfsburg1:3
- 20.01.2024FC Heidenheim — Wolfsburg1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Promotion | 1. FC Nürnberg | 7 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 | Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 4527281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4429281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 4627261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →