EFL Championship, round 6 · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Wolverhampton Wanderers — Portsmouth

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Model prediction for 20 October

Wolverhampton Wanderers59%
Draw24%
Portsmouth16%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Wolverhampton Wanderers are clear favourites: 59% against 16% for the opponent, draw 24%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Wolverhampton Wanderers are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Wolverhampton Wanderers — No. 10, 14 pts; Portsmouth — No. 20, 8 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Days of rest before the match: Wolverhampton Wanderers 7, Portsmouth 9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers — Portsmouth What is xG?1.8–0.9
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to lose84%
Portsmouth not to lose41%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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Form

Wolverhampton Wanderers

  • 13.10Bolton Wanderers1:3
  • 10.10away · Middlesbrough0:1
  • 20.09West Bromwich Albion1:0
  • 16.09away · Everton0:1
  • 13.09away · Sheffield United1:0

Portsmouth

  • 11.10away · Southampton0:1
  • 19.09Blackburn Rovers2:2
  • 12.09away · Charlton Athletic0:0
  • 05.09Cardiff City2:0
  • 01.09Derby County0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9Queens Park Rangers935111–8+314
10Wolverhampton Wanderers942316–14+214
11Millwall1042416–16014
19Norwich City930617–19-29
20Portsmouth82249–11-28
21Burnley1015415–19-48

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →