Austrian Bundesliga, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Tivoli Stadion Tirol
WSG Tirol — Ried
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:2Missed
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (30%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 30% fails in about 70 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: WSG Tirol 37%, Ried 33%, draw 30%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ried are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: WSG Tirol — Ried What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| WSG Tirol not to lose | 67% | |
| Ried not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap WSG Tirol
- WSG Tirol goals
- Ried goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 18.09away · Rapid Wien0:3
- 13.09Hartberg2:2
- 02.09away · Austria Wien1:0
- 28.08away · Austria Lustenau4:0
- 16.08Salzburg0:3
- 20.09Wolfsberger AC4:1
- 11.09Salzburg1:1
- 30.08away · Hartberg2:3
- 21.08Grazer AK1:0
- 14.08away · LASK1:4
Head to head
- 25.04.2026WSG Tirol — Ried1:0
- 14.03.2026Ried — WSG Tirol2:1
- 22.02.2026WSG Tirol — Ried1:1
- 04.10.2025Ried — WSG Tirol2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Championship round | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 5, Championship round | Ried | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6, Championship round | Hartberg | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 8, Relegation round | Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 9, Relegation round | WSG Tirol | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 10, Relegation round | Austria Wien | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
Next matches
- RiedAustria Wien17 October · Austrian Bundesliga4529261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- Wolfsberger ACWSG Tirol18 October · Austrian Bundesliga4229281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
Austrian Bundesliga on the same day
- 2028512The most likely outcome did not happen: 20:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:1.2.7
- 3030402The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:2.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →