Kazakhstan Premier League, round 23 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Zhetysu Taldykorgan — Kaisar Kyzylorda
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Zhetysu Taldykorgan 36%, Kaisar Kyzylorda 33%, draw 30%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kaisar Kyzylorda are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Zhetysu Taldykorgan — No. 16, 22 pts; Kaisar Kyzylorda — No. 14, 24 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Zhetysu Taldykorgan: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0 wins, Kaisar Kyzylorda 1, 4 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zhetysu Taldykorgan — Kaisar Kyzylorda What is xG? | 1.2–1.1 | |
| Zhetysu Taldykorgan not to lose | 67% | |
| Kaisar Kyzylorda not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Zhetysu Taldykorgan
- Zhetysu Taldykorgan goals
- Kaisar Kyzylorda goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Kairat Almaty0:1
- 18.09Kaspiy Aktau0:1
- 12.09away · FC Yelimay1:2
- 05.09Irtysh Pavlodar1:0
- 29.08away · Ulytau0:3
- 11.10Ordabasy Shymkent1:4
- 18.09away · FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk1:1
- 12.09Atyrau1:0
- 06.09away · FC Altai Oskemen0:2
- 29.08Okzhetpes Kokshetau2:3
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Kaisar Kyzylorda — Zhetysu Taldykorgan1:1
- 16.09.2025Zhetysu Taldykorgan — Kaisar Kyzylorda1:1
- 31.05.2025Kaisar Kyzylorda — Zhetysu Taldykorgan2:2
- 24.08.2024Kaisar Kyzylorda — Zhetysu Taldykorgan0:0
- 22.06.2024Zhetysu Taldykorgan — Kaisar Kyzylorda1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 26 | 6 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 27 | 4 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | FC Altai Oskemen | 27 | 5 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 27 | 5 | -19 | 22 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- 5325211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 2728462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →