Belgian Pro League, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Elindus Arena
Zulte Waregem — Gent
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0:2Missed
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (30%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 30% fails in about 70 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Zulte Waregem 35%, Gent 35%, draw 30%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gent are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zulte Waregem — Gent What is xG? | 1.3–1.3 | |
| Zulte Waregem not to lose | 65% | |
| Gent not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Zulte Waregem
- Zulte Waregem goals
- Gent goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · Anderlecht0:3
- 13.09Sporting Charleroi0:1
- 06.09away · Kortrijk2:0
- 30.08away · Westerlo2:2
- 22.08SK Beveren4:0
- 18.09Standard Liège2:1
- 13.09away · Genk1:1
- 06.09away · Cercle Brugge3:0
- 03.09OH Leuven1:0
- 30.08Club Brugge2:1
Head to head
- 13.03.2026Gent — Zulte Waregem2:0
- 19.10.2025Zulte Waregem — Gent4:1
- 12.03.2023Zulte Waregem — Gent2:6
- 11.09.2022Gent — Zulte Waregem2:0
- 06.03.2022Gent — Zulte Waregem2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Gent | 8 | 7 | +11 | 22 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Club Brugge | 8 | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 | Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Standard Liège | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
Next matches
- GentAGF15 October · Conference League5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Zulte WaregemRFC Seraing17 October · Belgian Cup6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.1
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- 4026341The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.1
- 1422642The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 0:1.2.9
- 781571The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →