DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · SAP Arena

Adler Mannheim — Straubing Tigers

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Adler Mannheim46%
Draw in regulation21%
Straubing Tigers33%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Adler Mannheim to win (57% incl. overtime), came true.

Adler Mannheim are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • Adler Mannheim are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Adler Mannheim — Straubing Tigers3.0–2.6
Adler Mannheim to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Straubing Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Adler Mannheim goals
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Form

Adler Mannheim

  • 09.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers5:2
  • 04.10away · Grizzly Wolfsburg1:4
  • 01.10Iserlohn Roosters6:1
  • 27.09away · ERC Ingolstadt2:3 OT
  • 25.09Krefeld Pinguine4:1

Straubing Tigers

  • 09.10Iserlohn Roosters11:4
  • 04.10away · Schwenninger4:2
  • 02.10Bremerhaven4:3
  • 27.09away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers3:2 SO
  • 25.09ERC Ingolstadt4:1

Head to head

  • 01.03.2026Adler Mannheim — Straubing Tigers2:3
  • 06.01.2026Straubing Tigers — Adler Mannheim4:1
  • 05.12.2025Straubing Tigers — Adler Mannheim0:4
  • 12.09.2025Adler Mannheim — Straubing Tigers3:0
  • 23.02.2025Adler Mannheim — Straubing Tigers4:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsEisbaren Berlin8610131–12+1920
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers9501329–23+616
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen8411225–24+115
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers8410332–24+814
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →