NHL · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Boston Bruins — Chicago Blackhawks

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Model prediction for 31 October

Boston Bruins52%
Draw in regulation22%
Chicago Blackhawks26%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Boston Bruins are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Boston Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Boston Bruins — No. 6, 10 pts; Chicago Blackhawks — No. 29, 4 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Boston Bruins: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Boston Bruins 4 wins, Chicago Blackhawks 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Boston Bruins — Chicago Blackhawks3.1–2.3
Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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Form

Boston Bruins

  • 14.10away · San Jose Sharks6:3
  • 10.10Philadelphia Flyers5:1
  • 09.10Utah Mammoth6:1
  • 06.10Ottawa Senators1:4
  • 04.10away · Minnesota Wild1:4

Chicago Blackhawks

  • 14.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
  • 11.10Carolina Hurricanes2:5
  • 09.10away · New York Islanders1:4
  • 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2
  • 04.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:4

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Boston Bruins2:5
  • 10.10.2025Boston Bruins — Chicago Blackhawks4:3 OT
  • 11.04.2025Boston Bruins — Chicago Blackhawks2:5
  • 05.12.2024Chicago Blackhawks — Boston Bruins2:4
  • 25.10.2023Chicago Blackhawks — Boston Bruins0:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins750226–16+1010
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth750227–19+810
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124
30Philadelphia Flyers803510–31-213

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →