NHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Calgary Flames — Detroit Red Wings
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Detroit Red Wings are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Calgary Flames — No. 32, 2 pts; Detroit Red Wings — No. 27, 4 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Detroit Red Wings: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Calgary Flames 0 wins, Detroit Red Wings 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Calgary Flames — Detroit Red Wings | 2.5–2.7 | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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- Totals incl. OT
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- Calgary Flames goals
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Form
- 14.10away · Anaheim Ducks4:2
- 11.10Anaheim Ducks2:4
- 09.10Colorado Avalanche3:7
- 05.10away · Seattle Kraken1:6
- 04.10away · Vancouver Canucks1:4
- 14.10New Jersey Devils4:5 OT
- 11.10away · Montreal Canadiens0:1 SO
- 10.10Seattle Kraken3:6
- 07.10Ottawa Senators5:3
- 04.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
Head to head
- 17.03.2026Detroit Red Wings — Calgary Flames5:2
- 11.12.2025Calgary Flames — Detroit Red Wings3:4
- 02.02.2025Calgary Flames — Detroit Red Wings1:3
- 28.11.2024Detroit Red Wings — Calgary Flames2:1 OT
- 18.02.2024Calgary Flames — Detroit Red Wings0:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 6 | 1 | -17 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsSan Jose Sharkspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Columbus Blue JacketsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- Edmonton OilersToronto Maple Leafspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.3
- Ottawa SenatorsNew York Rangerspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Pittsburgh PenguinsNashville Predatorspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.9
- St. Louis BluesCarolina Hurricanespreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Washington CapitalsBuffalo Sabrespreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.6
- Utah MammothTampa Bay Lightningpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →