NHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Winnipeg Jets are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Winnipeg Jets are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Chicago Blackhawks — No. 29, 4 pts; Winnipeg Jets — No. 10, 9 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Chicago Blackhawks 1 win, Winnipeg Jets 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets | 2.4–2.9 | |
| Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chicago Blackhawks
- Chicago Blackhawks goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
- 11.10Carolina Hurricanes2:5
- 09.10away · New York Islanders1:4
- 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2
- 04.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:4
- 14.10Minnesota Wild5:2
- 10.10Anaheim Ducks1:5
- 08.10Colorado Avalanche3:2
- 06.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
- 04.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:2
Head to head
- 01.04.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets3:4 OT
- 04.03.2026Winnipeg Jets — Chicago Blackhawks3:2 OT
- 20.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets2:0
- 31.10.2025Winnipeg Jets — Chicago Blackhawks6:3
- 13.04.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets4:5 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
NHL on the same day
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.9
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →