NHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Ottawa Senators — New York Islanders
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Ottawa Senators are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Ottawa Senators are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ottawa Senators — New York Islanders | 2.8–2.4 | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ottawa Senators
- Ottawa Senators goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10St. Louis Blues2:7
- 13.10away · New Jersey Devils4:1
- 11.10Nashville Predators3:2 SO
- 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5
- 14.10Vancouver Canucks3:2
- 11.10Tampa Bay Lightning3:5
- 09.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
- 07.10away · New York Rangers2:5
- 04.10New Jersey Devils6:0
Head to head
- 11.04.2026New York Islanders — Ottawa Senators0:3
- 20.03.2026Ottawa Senators — New York Islanders3:2
- 18.10.2025Ottawa Senators — New York Islanders4:5
- 15.01.2025New York Islanders — Ottawa Senators0:2
- 09.12.2024Ottawa Senators — New York Islanders2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 | New York Islanders | 6 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
NHL on the same day
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.9
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →