NHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Minnesota Wild — St. Louis Blues

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Model prediction for 16 October

Minnesota Wild43%
Draw in regulation24%
St. Louis Blues34%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Minnesota Wild are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Minnesota Wild are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Minnesota Wild — No. 9, 9 pts; St. Louis Blues — No. 16, 7 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Minnesota Wild 2 wins, St. Louis Blues 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Minnesota Wild — St. Louis Blues2.8–2.5
Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

Minnesota Wild

  • 14.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:5
  • 13.10Vegas Golden Knights4:2
  • 11.10away · Florida Panthers4:1
  • 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3
  • 07.10away · Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT

St. Louis Blues

  • 14.10away · Ottawa Senators7:2
  • 11.10Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
  • 09.10San Jose Sharks2:3 OT
  • 07.10away · Chicago Blackhawks2:4
  • 04.10away · Colorado Avalanche1:6

Head to head

  • 14.04.2026St. Louis Blues — Minnesota Wild6:3
  • 02.03.2026Minnesota Wild — St. Louis Blues1:3
  • 10.10.2025St. Louis Blues — Minnesota Wild0:5
  • 16.03.2025Minnesota Wild — St. Louis Blues1:5
  • 08.01.2025Minnesota Wild — St. Louis Blues6:4

Full record: 35 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators750221–19+210
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild741221–16+59
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets641118–17+19
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionPittsburgh Penguins731325–22+37
16St. Louis Blues631221–18+37
17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs731324–23+17

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →