VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK
CSK VVS — Dinamo St. Petersburg
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3:5Came true
In short
Final score 3:5: the model's most likely outcome, Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (50% incl. overtime), came true.
Close to a coin flip: CSK VVS 50%, Dinamo St. Petersburg 50% including overtime.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSK VVS — Dinamo St. Petersburg | 2.6–2.6 | |
| CSK VVS to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap CSK VVS
- CSK VVS goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 08.10Zvezda Moscow2:3
- 06.10Khimik2:8
- 02.10away · Gornyak2:5
- 30.09away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk5:4 OT
- 28.09away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk0:3
- 05.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:3
- 02.10away · Zvezda Moscow4:2
- 30.09away · Khimik3:4 OT
- 22.09Gornyak2:3
- 20.09Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3 SO
Head to head
- 09.01.2026Dinamo St. Petersburg — CSK VVS3:2
- 13.11.2025CSK VVS — Dinamo St. Petersburg2:3
- 27.01.2025Dinamo St. Petersburg — CSK VVS3:4
- 24.10.2024CSK VVS — Dinamo St. Petersburg2:1 OT
- 05.12.2023Dinamo St. Petersburg — CSK VVS4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 21 | HC Yugra | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
| 26 | Kurgan | 12 | 3 | -14 | 10 |
| 27 | CSK VVS | 16 | 4 | -25 | 9 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 13 | 3 | -11 | 8 |
Next matches
- CSK VVSSKA-VMF St. Petersburg12 October · VHL49512The most likely outcome came true: 223%0:5Final score 0:5. Model's score: 1:2.4.5
- AlmetyevskDinamo St. Petersburg12 October · VHL66341The most likely outcome came true: 120%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
VHL on the same day
- 50501The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 2:1.4.5
- 58421The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:1.4.3
- 34662The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:3.4.7
- 71291The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 3:1.5.1
- 44562The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 1:2.3.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →