PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Bars — Khimik

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Bars26%
Draw in regulation22%
Khimik52%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Khimik to win (66% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 66% fails in about 34 matches out of 100 on average.

Khimik are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Khimik are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bars — Khimik2.0–2.8
Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout)34%
Khimik to win (incl. OT and shootout)66%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Bars
  • Bars goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Bars

  • 06.10away · Gornyak3:2
  • 04.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3
  • 02.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:4
  • 30.09away · Orsk0:4
  • 25.09Perm0:4

Khimik

  • 08.10away · Almetyevsk2:3
  • 06.10away · CSK VVS8:2
  • 02.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg1:0
  • 30.09Dinamo St. Petersburg4:3 OT
  • 26.09Gornyak1:4

Head to head

  • 27.02.2026Khimik — Bars2:3
  • 17.09.2025Bars — Khimik2:0
  • 01.02.2025Khimik — Bars2:3
  • 18.10.2024Bars — Khimik4:3
  • 07.12.2023Khimik — Bars3:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, PlayoffsKaluga1383229–19+1019
9, PlayoffsKhimik1482446–28+1818
10, PlayoffsSKA-VMF St. Petersburg1280432–21+1116
13, PlayoffsGornyak1071229–18+1115
14, PlayoffsBars1471635–44-915
15, PlayoffsKristall Saratov1271431–41-1015

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • BarsZvezda Moscow12 October · VHL
    1The most likely outcome came true: 123%Final score 5:2. Model's score: 2:1.4.4
  • KhimikRyazan18 October · VHL
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4

VHL on the same day

  • HC NorilskToros Neftekamsk
    1The most likely outcome came true: 123%Final score 5:3. Model's score: 2:1.4.5
  • CSK VVSDinamo St. Petersburg
    2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 3:5. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
  • AKMOrsk
    1The most likely outcome came true: 123%Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:1.4.3
  • AlmetyevskZvezda Moscow
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%Final score 3:5. Model's score: 3:1.5.1
  • RyazanMagnitka Magnitogorsk
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%Final score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 1:2.3.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →