NHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Dallas Stars — Winnipeg Jets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dallas Stars are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Dallas Stars are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Dallas Stars — No. 25, 5 pts; Winnipeg Jets — No. 10, 9 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Dallas Stars 5 wins, Winnipeg Jets 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dallas Stars — Winnipeg Jets | 2.8–2.3 | |
| Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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- Totals incl. OT
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- Dallas Stars goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10Colorado Avalanche2:3
- 11.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins1:2 SO
- 09.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:0
- 06.10San Jose Sharks5:0
- 04.10away · Nashville Predators1:2
- 14.10Minnesota Wild5:2
- 10.10Anaheim Ducks1:5
- 08.10Colorado Avalanche3:2
- 06.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
- 04.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:2
Head to head
- 03.04.2026Dallas Stars — Winnipeg Jets3:0
- 03.02.2026Dallas Stars — Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT
- 10.12.2025Winnipeg Jets — Dallas Stars3:4
- 10.10.2025Winnipeg Jets — Dallas Stars4:5
- 18.05.2025Dallas Stars — Winnipeg Jets2:1 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsNashville Predatorspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- New Jersey DevilsAnaheim Duckspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Ottawa SenatorsSan Jose Sharkspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Pittsburgh PenguinsFlorida Pantherspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.2
- Toronto Maple LeafsNew York Rangerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- New York IslandersLos Angeles Kingspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- St. Louis BluesVegas Golden Knightspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Calgary FlamesMinnesota Wildpreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →