NHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Detroit Red Wings — Philadelphia Flyers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Detroit Red Wings 52%, Philadelphia Flyers 48% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Detroit Red Wings — No. 27, 4 pts; Philadelphia Flyers — No. 30, 3 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Detroit Red Wings: 3 defeats in a row; Philadelphia Flyers: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Detroit Red Wings 3 wins, Philadelphia Flyers 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Detroit Red Wings — Philadelphia Flyers | 2.5–2.4 | |
| Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Detroit Red Wings
- Detroit Red Wings goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10New Jersey Devils4:5 OT
- 11.10away · Montreal Canadiens0:1 SO
- 10.10Seattle Kraken3:6
- 07.10Ottawa Senators5:3
- 04.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 14.10Seattle Kraken2:3 SO
- 12.10Carolina Hurricanes1:4
- 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
- 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2
- 06.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:4
Head to head
- 10.04.2026Detroit Red Wings — Philadelphia Flyers6:3
- 03.04.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Detroit Red Wings2:4
- 29.03.2026Detroit Red Wings — Philadelphia Flyers3:5
- 22.01.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Detroit Red Wings2:1 OT
- 19.12.2024Detroit Red Wings — Philadelphia Flyers6:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →