DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Eisbaren Berlin — Augsburger Panther

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Model prediction for 23 October

Eisbaren Berlin64%
Draw in regulation17%
Augsburger Panther19%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Eisbaren Berlin are clear favourites: 75% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.

Why

  • Eisbaren Berlin are more dangerous in attack: 3.8 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Eisbaren Berlin — No. 1, 20 pts; Augsburger Panther — No. 6, 14 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Eisbaren Berlin: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Eisbaren Berlin 3 wins, Augsburger Panther 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Eisbaren Berlin — Augsburger Panther3.8–2.3
Eisbaren Berlin to win (incl. OT and shootout)75%
Augsburger Panther to win (incl. OT and shootout)25%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)62%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)38%

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Form

Eisbaren Berlin

  • 11.10away · Bremerhaven3:0
  • 09.10Grizzly Wolfsburg5:0
  • 04.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:1
  • 02.10away · Frankfurt Lowen2:0
  • 27.09Iserlohn Roosters4:0

Augsburger Panther

  • 11.10away · Krefeld Pinguine2:1
  • 09.10Bremerhaven3:0
  • 04.10away · Munchen2:4
  • 02.10Grizzly Wolfsburg5:2
  • 27.09Kolner4:6

Head to head

  • 27.01.2026Augsburger Panther — Eisbaren Berlin2:1
  • 04.01.2026Eisbaren Berlin — Augsburger Panther6:3
  • 25.10.2025Eisbaren Berlin — Augsburger Panther3:4 OT
  • 03.10.2025Augsburger Panther — Eisbaren Berlin3:4 OT
  • 21.02.2025Eisbaren Berlin — Augsburger Panther5:0

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsEisbaren Berlin8610131–12+1920
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers8410332–24+814
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGrizzly Wolfsburg8312226–27-113

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →