DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Uber Arena

Eisbaren Berlin — Grizzly Wolfsburg

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Model prediction and result

5:0Came true
Eisbaren Berlin53%
Draw in regulation20%
Grizzly Wolfsburg27%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 5:0: the model's most likely outcome, Eisbaren Berlin to win (65% incl. overtime), came true.

Eisbaren Berlin are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Eisbaren Berlin are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • Eisbaren Berlin: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Eisbaren Berlin 3 wins, Grizzly Wolfsburg 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Eisbaren Berlin — Grizzly Wolfsburg3.3–2.5
Eisbaren Berlin to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Grizzly Wolfsburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Eisbaren Berlin
  • Eisbaren Berlin goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Eisbaren Berlin

  • 04.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:1
  • 02.10away · Frankfurt Lowen2:0
  • 27.09Iserlohn Roosters4:0
  • 25.09away · Kolner6:5 SO
  • 20.09away · Adler Mannheim3:4

Grizzly Wolfsburg

  • 04.10Adler Mannheim4:1
  • 02.10away · Augsburger Panther2:5
  • 27.09Bremerhaven3:2
  • 25.09Schwenninger3:4 OT
  • 20.09Munchen4:3 OT

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Grizzly Wolfsburg — Eisbaren Berlin5:2
  • 26.12.2025Eisbaren Berlin — Grizzly Wolfsburg1:2
  • 28.11.2025Grizzly Wolfsburg — Eisbaren Berlin1:6
  • 17.10.2025Eisbaren Berlin — Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2
  • 02.03.2025Eisbaren Berlin — Grizzly Wolfsburg6:3

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsEisbaren Berlin8610131–12+1920
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGrizzly Wolfsburg8312226–27-113
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKrefeld Pinguine8400424–20+412

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • BremerhavenEisbaren Berlin11 October · DEL
    2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 0:3. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%Final score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.3

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →