NHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Florida Panthers — Vancouver Canucks

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Model prediction for 16 October

Florida Panthers53%
Draw in regulation22%
Vancouver Canucks25%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Florida Panthers are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • Florida Panthers are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Florida Panthers — No. 14, 8 pts; Vancouver Canucks — No. 28, 4 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Vancouver Canucks: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Florida Panthers 1 win, Vancouver Canucks 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Florida Panthers — Vancouver Canucks3.3–2.4
Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout)66%
Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)34%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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Form

Florida Panthers

  • 14.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets7:3
  • 12.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:5
  • 11.10Minnesota Wild1:4
  • 07.10away · Los Angeles Kings2:1
  • 05.10away · Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT

Vancouver Canucks

  • 14.10away · New York Islanders2:3
  • 12.10away · New York Rangers2:6
  • 10.10away · New Jersey Devils1:4
  • 09.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:7
  • 05.10Vegas Golden Knights2:3

Head to head

  • 18.03.2026Vancouver Canucks — Florida Panthers5:2
  • 18.11.2025Florida Panthers — Vancouver Canucks8:5
  • 13.12.2024Vancouver Canucks — Florida Panthers4:0
  • 18.10.2024Florida Panthers — Vancouver Canucks2:3 OT
  • 15.12.2023Vancouver Canucks — Florida Panthers4:0

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
13, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning640217–16+18
14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceFlorida Panthers732219–20-18
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionPittsburgh Penguins731325–22+37
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →