Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Kometa Brno — Liberec

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Model prediction for 18 October

Kometa Brno38%
Draw in regulation22%
Liberec40%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Close to a coin flip: Kometa Brno 49%, Liberec 51% including overtime.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kometa Brno — Liberec2.5–2.5
Kometa Brno to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kometa Brno
  • Kometa Brno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kometa Brno

  • 11.10Plzen1:2 OT
  • 08.10away · Sparta Prague4:3 OT
  • 05.10away · Ceske Budejovice1:5
  • 02.10Mlada Boleslav3:2 SO
  • 27.09Pardubice3:5

Liberec

  • 11.10away · Ceske Budejovice3:4
  • 09.10Karlovy Vary5:0
  • 04.10away · Mlada Boleslav5:3
  • 02.10Olomouc2:0
  • 29.09away · Litvinov4:5 SO

Head to head

  • 23.01.2026Liberec — Kometa Brno4:0
  • 19.12.2025Kometa Brno — Liberec3:1
  • 26.10.2025Liberec — Kometa Brno4:3
  • 19.09.2025Kometa Brno — Liberec4:5
  • 26.01.2025Liberec — Kometa Brno5:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague10402431–28+314
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec10402429–29014
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov10311524–28-412
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno9221425–28-311
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →